Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.549468 3.773935 4.013460 4.289500 4.600668 4.942784 5.350455
2024-10-27 3.169160 3.454224 3.772441 4.158120 4.618745 5.159131 5.853517
2024-11-03 3.022038 3.369460 3.773948 4.288792 4.940949 5.761292 6.910780
2024-11-10 2.924806 3.330338 3.821609 4.477733 5.360769 6.559319 8.418785
2024-11-17 2.731604 3.156724 3.686566 4.419849 5.453958 6.947226 9.480491
2024-11-24 2.549372 2.981859 3.533659 4.320695 5.476992 7.244216 10.517170
2024-12-01 2.405355 2.845052 3.418512 4.260461 5.548637 7.636595 11.899813
2024-12-08 2.285682 2.731506 3.324975 4.220642 5.646672 8.101883 13.688889
2024-12-15 2.218432 2.682967 3.316331 4.304312 5.956949 9.035876 17.230507
2024-12-22 2.083599 2.533821 3.154552 4.138128 5.823529 9.092511 18.591329
2024-12-29 2.019377 2.478503 3.123543 4.173530 6.050715 9.971292 23.588686
2025-01-05 1.953240 2.416359 3.077678 4.180001 6.228183 10.820397 30.252310
2025-01-12 1.850890 2.306066 2.965687 4.089482 6.255268 11.468064 39.306932
2025-01-19 1.748171 2.189737 2.836801 3.957855 6.181335 11.855634 49.985336
2025-01-26 1.708814 2.163595 2.845289 4.068184 6.647946 14.183313 123.847928
2025-02-02 1.681880 2.154064 2.879358 4.231739 7.297565 17.987900 NaN
2025-02-09 1.613859 2.078342 2.800295 4.172432 7.400576 19.858358 NaN
2025-02-16 1.545043 1.997871 2.707959 4.077225 7.392690 21.314947 NaN
2025-02-23 1.488122 1.932992 2.637493 4.018298 7.474381 23.585412 NaN
2025-03-02 1.438882 1.877663 2.579548 3.978659 7.606228 26.693682 NaN
2025-03-09 1.411159 1.854667 2.575330 4.050850 8.104410 34.866064 NaN
2025-03-16 1.350989 1.777356 2.471694 3.898732 7.852262 34.926823 NaN
2025-03-23 1.322043 1.748771 2.452140 3.928495 8.218206 45.160677 NaN